Bitcoin faces a critical turning point in April 2026, with a slight price increase of only 0.19% in March and weakening market momentum. Technically, it presents a "bear flag" pattern and is testing a key trend line, which may open a new round of decline. The funding situation is polarized, with weakened ETF net inflows and continued selling pressure from whales. The key support level is $67,000, and if broken, it will test downward. If it breaks through $75,900, it may reverse. Overall, Bitcoin still faces pressure in the short term, and the April trend will affect subsequent market movements.

Bitcoin miners currently have an average production cost of $88,000, with a market price of approximately $69,200, resulting in losses of 21%. Mining difficulty has decreased by 7.76%, with hash price approaching the break-even line. Most mining enterprises are shifting toward AI businesses, and increased bitcoin sales by miners are adding selling pressure to the market. The next difficulty adjustment is expected in early April, and if conditions persist, further downward adjustments may occur.

On March 20, the prediction probability on Polymarket platform for "edgeX FDV exceeding $1 billion one day after opening" dropped to 21%, a 24-hour decline of 30%, with trading volume approaching $2.5 million. edgeX has launched the EDGE airdrop claim page, running from March 19 to April 1. Meanwhile, a certain CEX has launched EDGE token contract trading at a price of $0.67, with an FDV of $670 million.

Gate News bulletin: On March 19, the US 2-year Treasury yield (short-term Treasury investment return indicator) experienced its largest increase since April 9, 2025. This yield movement reflects a significant shift in the bond market, indicating that investor sentiment and monetary policy expectations are undergoing adjustment. Market participants are closely monitoring this indicator as it affects borrowing costs and economic forecasts.

Gate News, on March 19th, according to Lookonchain monitoring, trader BlueHorseshoe86 placed a $92,000 bet on the prediction market platform Polymarket, predicting that the United States and Iran will reach a ceasefire by April 15 or April 30. This trader previously made a profit of $260,000 by betting on the "Maduro's fall" event.

On March 19, 3 accounts on Polymarket invested $9,400 betting on "whether there will be a new national attack on Iran before April," with the current probability at 24%. The Saudi Foreign Minister and the British government made statements on this and condemned Iran's attacks on Gulf states.

Gate News. On March 18, Baidu Intelligent Cloud released a price adjustment announcement for AI computing power, storage, and other products. Among them, AI computing power-related product service prices will increase by approximately 5%-30%; parallel file storage prices will increase by approximately 30%. The above price adjustments will take effect on April 18, 2026 at 00:00 (Beijing Time).

On March 17, the probability of Trump's visit to China on Polymarket dropped sharply, with the probability of "visiting China before March 31" falling to 4%, while the probability of "visiting China before April 30" stood at 34%. The Foreign Ministry stated that China and the US are still communicating about the visit.

On March 16, prediction market Polymarket showed that bets against "U.S. military intervention in Iran before April" surged notably, with someone investing $83,600 to successfully boost the probability to 73%. Trump plans to establish an international coalition to ensure Strait of Hormuz security; however, Gulf states deny providing military operation support. Despite Iran's attacks on Israel and U.S. military bases, the U.S. response remains focused on maintaining Strait of Hormuz navigation and similar measures.

Polymarket prediction market shows that an account has placed a $90,000 bet on the Iranian regime collapsing before April 30 and June 30, with current odds at 23.5¢. Internal factional divisions are evident in Iran, with Supreme Leader Khamenei absent from public appearance, emphasizing a hardline stance on foreign policy.