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# Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision Incoming, BTC and ETH About to Make Major Moves!
Fed interest rate decision at 2:00 AM, Powell press conference at 2:30 AM—directly setting the tone for crypto market movement.
Market consensus: Interest rates held steady at 3.5%-3.75%, zero probability of rate cuts.
Focus on two core points: Dot plot rate cut frequency + Powell's remarks
• Last December projected 1 rate cut in 2026; key watch is whether this revises to 0 or 2 cuts.
• Hawkish (0 rate cuts + sticky inflation/data dependency): Liquidity tightens, US dollar and Treasury bonds strengthen, crypto biased bearish in the short term, likely decline followed by consolidation.
• Dovish (1 or more rate cuts + signals released for cuts): US dollar and Treasury yields decline, capital inflows return, crypto poised for rebound and upside push.