The US-Iran negotiations this time failed! It’s all just a show behind the scenes!

Tokyo University has been urging peace, and the US-Iran situation really hasn't escalated.
Iran wants to negotiate, but doesn't dare trust the US— the Revolutionary Guards are watching closely, and if they get played again, the government will have even less say.
Look at how clever Iran is: the English version abroad doesn’t mention uranium enrichment, while the Persian version internally states “must insist.”
Why loosen up? Intelligence reports say— eight US refueling aircraft and long-range bombers have taken off!
The Revolutionary Guards are only reluctantly giving Trump a chance.
The most likely outcome of the negotiations: a truncated agreement.
The core terms have two versions— one for internal use and one for the international community, with Iran just making a promise and saying whatever at home.
The US relaxes sanctions a bit, allowing passage through the Strait of Hormuz, but if you want Trump to lose money? Dream on, he’d rather not charge you at all.
Second scenario: negotiations break down, continue fighting, even leading to a humanitarian crisis.
Third scenario (20% chance): a major shake-up inside Iran, with the government truly in control, and external cooperation no longer playing games.
Right now, negotiating with Iran, the government still has to seek approval from the Revolutionary Guards—
China’s metro and high-speed rail investments have been exploited before, learned from India’s “graveyard for foreign investment”?
The key is the mindset of the Revolutionary Guards: the more fearful they are, the more hardline they become, even encouraging the public to “protect the country” by going to power plants—
not dispersing crowds.
Is this patriotism? No, it’s using lives as bargaining chips.
There’s division within the US too: Trump’s real approval rating is 47%, opposition 51%;
support for war with Iran is 47%, oppose 46%.
Iran can fully exploit this to sway public opinion.
Finally, honestly speaking: whether negotiations succeed or fail, neighboring countries are already preparing—
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman are all looking for alternative routes— pipelines, railways, power plants, desalination plants, with capacity already in place.
While others talk about war, smart people are planning for post-war reconstruction.