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Citi Lifts South Korea's 2026 Nominal GDP Forecast to 20.7%, Expects August Rate Hike

2026-07-23 06:51:40

According to Citi economist Kim Jin-wook on July 23, the Bank of Korea is expected to raise its base rate by 25 basis points in August following a similar increase this month, driven by strong second-quarter GDP and GDI growth. Citi raised its 2026 nominal GDP growth forecast to 20.7% from 15.5%, marking the strongest expansion since 1991. For inflation, Citi expects the August headline consumer price index to rise 3.2% year-over-year and core CPI to climb 3.3%, after forecasting July inflation to moderate to 2.7%. The bank projects the final base rate in the current tightening cycle to reach 3.50% if additional increases occur in August, November, and February 2027.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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