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Global AI Debt to Hit $7.1 Trillion by 2029, SemiAnalysis Reveals Nvidia's 'Backstop' Strategy

GateNews
AI Industry News
According to SemiAnalysis, global AI infrastructure debt is projected to reach approximately $7.1 trillion by 2029, becoming the world's second-largest asset-backed debt market after U.S. residential mortgages (about $13 trillion), SemiAnalysis disclosed on July 8. The research firm revealed Nvidia's "backstop" strategy, where the chipmaker leverages its AA/Aa2 investment-grade credit rating to guarantee minimum revenue for AI compute-rental providers, unlocking bank lending. By providing guarantees while absorbing demand shortfalls, Nvidia effectively functions as a central bank for the AI ecosystem. SemiAnalysis notes this debt stems from AI IT capital expenditures (GPUs, networking, storage) and data center infrastructure costs (facilities, power, cooling). As cloud giants increasingly turn to debt financing to fund expanding AI clusters, the capital markets are becoming the constraint rather than GPU availability.
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