Macquarie Maintains Fed Rate Hike Forecast for Q1 2027 After Strong Jobs Report

According to Macquarie Group chief economist David Doyle, on June 8, the firm maintained its baseline expectation that the Federal Reserve's next move will be a rate hike in Q1 2027, following last week's strong U.S. employment report. Doyle stated: "As we have long emphasized, we believe the Fed's next action will be a rate hike, with our baseline timing in the first quarter of 2027." Market pricing has already shifted risk upside toward an earlier hike, with some expectations now incorporating the possibility of a rate increase as early as Q4 2026.
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