According to CNBC on July 25, credit spreads are widening for technology companies building AI data centers, with Neocloud operators—specialized cloud service providers offering GPU capacity for AI computing—facing the steepest pressure. Companies like CoreWeave, Nebius, and Applied Digital carry significantly higher debt ratios (739x, 131x, and 172x equity respectively) compared to hyperscalers such as Alphabet (18x), Microsoft (30x), and Amazon (51x). UBS projects credit spreads will remain elevated through the year-end and into 2027, while funding costs for debt-heavy Neocloud firms are rising rapidly.
The International Bank for Settlements warns of compounding systemic risks: circular financing structures within the AI ecosystem—where Nvidia supports customer financing while some Neocloud providers tap hyperscaler project finance—may amplify over-investment. BIS estimates current AI infrastructure investment could exceed actual demand by approximately 1.5x, creating cascading contagion risks if any major player faces financial stress.