SC Crude Futures Gains Narrow to 5% on July 24 as Oil Rally Seen Emotion-Driven

According to Huatai Futures, on July 24, SC crude oil futures opened slightly lower with gains narrowing to 5%, while low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) and fuel oil rallies stayed below 2%. The recent spike has been primarily driven by geopolitical tensions, including the Strait of Hormuz closure, CPC terminal shutdown, and Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea. However, the physical crude market remains restrained with limited panic buying, as Chinese imports remain weak and other nations' demand is mostly satisfied. The 80 million barrels of backlog cargo from previous disruptions also cushions the market. Huatai Futures noted a widening gap between paper and physical markets, indicating the current rally is emotion-driven rather than fundamentals-based.
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