Tesla stock rose 8% in a single day, Musk's 'self-driving car' prediction still far from reality.

Tesla stock rose 8% in a single day on June 30, becoming the leading gainer among large-cap tech stocks that day, driving the Nasdaq index up 2%. Musk publicly stated after deploying the first batch of self-driving taxis in Austin in June 2025, "Millions of Tesla vehicles will achieve full self-driving in the second half of next year"; as of June, the actual number of Tesla self-driving taxis in operation was 39.

Historical Record of Musk's Public Predictions on Autonomous Driving and Current Data

Musk's major public predictions regarding Tesla's autonomous driving are recorded as follows:

2015: "Full self-driving will be achieved in about two years"

2016: "Autonomous driving is basically a solved problem"

June 2025: "Millions of Tesla vehicles will achieve full self-driving in the second half of next year"

June 2026 Status: The actual number of Tesla self-driving taxis operating in Austin is 39

As of press time, Tesla has not made any official statement regarding the gap between the above predictions and the current situation.

Tesla's Current Valuation and Business Status Data

Tesla's current price-to-earnings ratio is 380 times. As of June 30, 2026, the Optimus humanoid robot business has not disclosed any commercial revenue, customer contracts, or production capacity data.

Musk's recent public statements mentioned plans to deploy Optimus in factory operations, but did not include a specific commercial launch date. Tesla has gradually shifted its business positioning to the narrative framework of a "robotics company," but as of press time has not released formal financial data for the related business.

FAQ

What was the trigger for Tesla's 8% rise on June 30?

As of press time, Tesla did not make any major business announcements. The rise occurred on the last trading day of the second quarter of 2026, with analysts pointing to quarter-end position adjustments as one possible factor. The Nasdaq index rose 2% on the same day, with Tesla being the main driver.

How many self-driving taxis does Tesla currently have in actual operation?

According to the latest public data as of June 2026, the actual number of Tesla self-driving taxis (Robotaxi) in operation in Austin is 39. After deploying the first batch in June 2025, Musk publicly predicted that millions of Teslas would achieve full self-driving in the second half of 2026.

What procedural facts are still needed for the Optimus robot to reach commercialization?

As of June 30, 2026, Tesla has not disclosed the commercial deployment timeline, mass production plan, or customer order data for Optimus. Musk's public statements mentioned plans for "truly useful humanoid robots" to be used in factories, but Tesla has not provided official documents with specific implementation dates.