Macroeconomics

Gate News message: On April 7, Federal Reserve officials Hamek and Goolsby warned that the inflation situation is severe and could even get worse. The two officials believe that the inflation problem is more serious than the job market, implying support for tightening monetary policy. In an interview, Goolsby rated the inflation outlook as "orange," while Hamek said that inflation has been above its target level for five consecutive years, and that the current situation is "absolutely a more vivid, brighter orange."

2026-04-06 16:45 to 17:00 (UTC), BTC recorded a return of -0.47% within 15 minutes. The price fluctuation range was 69782.3-70351.7 USDT, with an overall amplitude of 0.81%. Market attention rose rapidly; trading volume expanded in the short term, volatility intensified, and investors’ risk appetite fell significantly. The main driver of this unusual move was large outflows of on-chain funds and deep holders transferring BTC to trading platforms. Daily on-chain trading volume surged to approximately $37.4 billion, the highest in nearly 7 months. During the Americas trading session, the order book overall fl

Bitcoin whale Pompliano said in a Podcast that despite tensions in the Middle East, the U.S. economy has shown resilience and successfully transitioned into a net energy exporter. As rising oil prices have a reduced impact on GDP and the unemployment rate remains stable at 4%, the United States’ advantages in the energy supply chain are further strengthened. Although people face inflation pressures in the short term, in the long run, America’s energy dominance will provide a solid foundation for the economy.

On April 6, the Institute for Supply Management in the United States released the March services sector data. The services price index rose to 70.7, the largest increase in 14 years. The services index fell to 54 due to slower employment and business activity; the services employment index declined to 45.2, the biggest monthslong drop since the COVID-19 outbreak. New order growth remained strong, but rising energy costs put pressure on businesses.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned in his letter to shareholders that a potential war involving Iran could lead to volatility in oil and commodity prices, worsening inflation and raising interest rates. He mentioned multiple geopolitical risks and noted that while the U.S. economy remains resilient, it still needs to focus on the government’s budget deficit and the need for infrastructure spending.

Sky Links Capital CEO Daniel Takieddine said that, as expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts weaken, the upside potential for gold is limited. The price of gold is influenced by strong U.S. labor data and geopolitical risk. He noted that gold’s near-term performance will depend on U.S. economic data and policy signals.

Robert Kiyosaki warns that the world faces the risk of a major war due to an oil crisis, and points out that traditional financial planning faces challenges. He advises investors to treat gold, silver, and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets to respond to the impacts of geopolitical conflicts and a high-inflation environment.

From 06:15 to 06:30 (UTC) on 2026-04-06, the BTC price dropped from 68807.2 to 69308.1 USDT; the 15-minute return recorded -0.66%, and the amplitude reached 0.72%. During this period, market volatility intensified, with trading volume and social discussion heat increasing in tandem, reflecting intense short-term capital games. The main driving force behind this abnormal movement came from sudden changes at the macro policy level. The United States has recently increased tariffs and continued its high-tariff policy, causing a sharp drop in global risk appetite and prompting investors to withdraw en masse from high-volatility assets. Related con

A Haitong Securities research report says that the conflict in the Middle East has gone beyond short-term impacts, causing capital and supply disruptions. Even if the situation improves, the market’s allocation approach will be different from spring. It expects the U.S. dollar and oil prices to perform better than anticipated. It also calls for paying attention to shortages of goods and supply-chain risks, and maintaining a cautious attitude toward market volatility.

Gate News news, on April 6, local time April 6, the yield on 10-year newly issued Japanese government bonds, which is a benchmark for Japan’s long-term interest rates, briefly rose to 2.400%, the highest level since February 1999.

Robert Kiyosaki, in a recent post, said that Bitcoin and Ethereum could become the safest investments of 2026, because the United States continues to print money, debt is rising, and inflation is worsening. He criticized the safety of U.S. Treasuries as “the biggest lie,” and noted that real assets and cryptocurrencies can preserve wealth during inflation. His investment recommendations include holding Bitcoin, gold, silver, and commodities. Although some of his predictions weren’t accurate, some of his long-term predictions have come true.

Gate News message: On April 5, OPEC+ held a committee meeting on Sunday, expressing concern about attacks on energy assets during the war between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. It said that the repair costs for the relevant facilities are high and will take a long time, which will affect overall supply capacity. The meeting statement emphasized that ensuring the safety of international sea lanes is crucial to keep energy flowing without interruption. The statement also noted that attacks on energy infrastructure are concerning and that restoring damaged energy assets back to full-load operation is both costly and time-consuming, thereby affecting overall supply capacity.

A World Gold Council report shows that in February 2026, central banks net bought 19 tons of gold, up from January but below the 2025 average. Some central banks have continued to accumulate gold; China has increased its holdings for 16 months. Goldman Sachs and UBS predict that the gold price could rise to $5,400 and $5,900, respectively, in the future.

Gate News message, April 5, economists said that the sudden jump in gasoline prices that American consumers can feel firsthand will be fully reflected in the key inflation data to be released this week. The U.S. is expected to see March CPI rise 1% month over month, which would be the largest monthly increase since 2022; core CPI could rise 0.3% month over month. Earlier, the Iran war pushed gasoline prices at U.S. gas stations up by about $1 per gallon. As a result, the Federal Reserve may find it difficult to carry out interest rate cuts this year.

In March, the U.S. added 178,000 jobs, recovering from February's losses and reducing the unemployment rate to 4.3%. The stronger-than-expected report may influence future interest rate decisions by the Fed amidst fluctuating oil prices.

A Federal Reserve watcher said that the U.S. added 178k jobs in March, the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, but wage growth slowed to the lowest level in five years. The average monthly number of new jobs was only 22.5k, the economic outlook is fragile, and inflation concerns may further limit the room for rate cuts.

According to Glassnode data, in the first quarter of 2023, the average daily losses for “sharks” holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC and “giant whales” holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC were 188.5 million and $147.5 million, respectively, totaling approximately $337 million. Meanwhile, the year-to-date cumulative losses have already reached $30.9 billion, approaching the level of the 2022 bear market. Long-term holders’ average daily losses are still around $200 million, with the market affected by macro risks and weakening confidence.

The International Monetary Fund recommends that the Bank of Japan continue raising interest rates, despite new risks to Japan’s economy stemming from the Middle East war. Rising oil prices and yen depreciation have intensified inflation pressures. The IMF expects inflation to return to the 2% target in 2027 and emphasizes the importance of a flexible interest-rate policy.

The Trump administration submitted a $1.5 trillion defense spending request to Congress on April 3 --- the largest military budget proposal in U.S. history --- pairing record military outlays with cuts to domestic programs in a fiscal combination that signals sustained inflation pressure and a

Despite a strong rebound in U.S. March employment data, EY-Parthenon economist Lydia Boussour says the labor market remains fragile, with companies’ hiring intentions declining, and expects the market to be frozen in 2026. The unemployment rate could rise to 4.7%, and the probability of an economic recession is 40%.