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4.24 Market Analysis: Gold consolidates with oscillations, crude oil breaks strongly
Today’s market shows a pattern of gold weakening and oil remaining strong under pressure. Gold has fallen back from high levels and lost the $4,700 mark, entering a wide-range consolidation. The Fed’s rate cut expectations are delayed, and geopolitical safe-haven plays are intensifying, making the short-term outlook slightly weak, while the medium- to long-term bull market remains unchanged. Crude oil has surged strongly driven by Middle Eastern geopolitical factors, with WTI breaking above $98, and ongoing su

In the early trading session, gold experienced a weak rebound after a decline, with four-hour low-level oscillation correction, originally expecting a low-range long position. The market trend is relatively weak, and the price is unable to break through the key resistance at 4775, breaking below the intraday support platform, forming a bearish structure with high and low points moving downward simultaneously, indicating a complete reversal of the short-term trend.
Currently, gold prices have fallen from the high of 4891, with a low of 4657.82, and bearish momentum is sufficient. Coupled with t

Gold and Crude Oil Price Trend Analysis
Iran releases a large poster declaring control over the Strait of Hormuz, which is essentially a signal of escalating geopolitical tensions, rather than a direct move to implement a full blockade. As a critical global energy transportation route, this statement will directly boost market risk aversion sentiment and intensify commodity price fluctuations, but it is unlikely to trigger extreme market movements in the short term.
Regarding crude oil, supported by geopolitical risk premiums, a significant decline is unlikely. The strait accounts for nearly 3

Due to the uncertainty in the geopolitical situation in the Strait of Hormuz, risk-averse sentiment has intensified in the market, and a large volume of buy orders has poured in to support oil prices. The Strait of Hormuz accounts for nearly 20% of global energy transportation supply. As control of the shipping lanes remains in Iran’s hands, geopolitical risk continues to provide fundamental support for crude oil.
From a daily perspective, oil prices have already fallen below the entire moving average system, and the medium-term trend has officially entered a turning point. The market’s pace h

Currently, the market is clearly caught in tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. The gold price has been fluctuating back and forth between 4700 and 4790, and there is no sign of a breakout into a one-sided surge or plunge.
Yesterday, gold overall mainly traded in a range. It opened at 4720.7, and the market saw a slight drop, with the low reaching 4715. Then it slowly rebounded and moved higher, with the peak rising to 4773. After that, the market remained stable and continued to trade sideways with fluctuations.
Fundamentals show that bullish and bearish factors are about evenly mat

Yesterday, gold saw a slight pullback and moved lower, mainly driven by uncertainty and maneuvering in the lead-up to the US-Iran negotiations, which put pressure on the bulls and weakened momentum. The market’s focus is entirely on the negotiations between the two sides today. Market expectations are that the talks will bring modest easing progress. If key issues advance beyond expectations, market sentiment will improve, which will directly be bullish for gold to move higher.
At present, trading in the gold market is relatively quiet, with less speculative capital positioning. In the short t

From the 4-hour chart, in the short term, gold’s support zone is first seen at 4700-4710.
The key support below is around the overnight low of 4668-4670. After the market makes a slight pullback and adjustment, the bulls still have the momentum to push higher and refresh the highs.
The short-term resistance overhead is at 4780-4790—this level is also the key turning point of last night’s decline.
Overall, the trading approach is simple and clear: when the market pulls back and corrects, prioritize going long on dips.
Trading reference
When gold pulls back into the 4710-4725 range, enter a long

In the evening, it was clearly indicated that a break below 4760 support would lead to weakness; the market, as expected, probed lower. The logic behind the confirmation of a key level being broken has been validated, and going with the trend is king.
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Yesterday, gold relied on the 4780 level and implemented a low-buy strategy precisely, locking in gains. Long positions at 4788, 4784, and 4795 all came in with full profits. In the oscillation-recovery phase, profits were substantial. Trump announced a second round of negotiations between the US and Iran, and the market fell into a wait-and-see mode!
Today, first look for oscillation in the 4837-4780 range. The daily moving averages are converging, and the long-term bullish structure remains unchanged; at key levels, a major one-sided move may be on the way. During the oscillation period, ind

Gold is currently in a high-level pullback correction phase, with the 4-hour cycle stabilizing at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The previous sharp decline lows are gradually rising, maintaining an upward continuation bullish rhythm. The rebound trend from the 4644 low has not been broken, and after the pullback from the 4891.67 high, support was found around 4811. The lows are rising, moving averages are in a bullish alignment, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward. The current price has returned above the middle band, the pullback confirmation is complete, bullish momentum is r

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Afternoon thoughts: Narrow fluctuation between 4780-4800 with slight shocks
In the morning, gold was dragged down by a retreat in crude oil, quickly falling back after failing to reach 4800. The bullish momentum and the logic of holding steady and going long completely invalidated. Now, the price is firmly suppressed at 4800, with support at 4780. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a typical phase of sideways consolidation with no clear direction, waiting for a breakout.
Trading suggestions
Short: Light position short at 4798-4800, target 4785-4780, reduce position and exit near 4

Tomorrow is Monday, and the market is bubbling with undercurrents, with emotions fluctuating unpredictably.
A nearly hundred-point swing is brewing, and the bulls and bears are on the verge of confrontation,
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This Week's Gold Market Review and Next Week's Outlook
This Week's Gold Price Review
This week's gold trend was a pattern of first falling then rising. On Monday, the price dropped to a low point and stabilized, then rebounded all the way up.
When the gold price first reached 4870, it encountered resistance and slightly pulled back, then continued to surge higher, reaching around 4889 at the peak. Calculated over the week, the gold price rose nearly $250, ending with a large bullish candlestick on the weekly chart. Clearly, the overall direction of gold remains upward, with a particularly stab

This week in the gold market, we focused entirely on precise analysis, from Monday's forecast of a gap down break and dual-direction strategies, to Tuesday and Wednesday's long-side accumulation, and then to Thursday and Friday's rhythm of selling high and buying low—each step staying ahead of the market.
Within the 4700-4850 range, we repeatedly hit key support and resistance levels with precision, realizing profits on both sides, and some partners achieved a breakthrough from thousands of dollars to tens of thousands of dollars in account growth.
Market volatility is not scary; true confiden