YangDongxu'sCommentary

Yesterday was still in a sideways consolidation; the movement up and down was only slightly more than 1 point, and neither side broke through. This kind of price action differs somewhat from expectations. Yesterday shifted to a **“diatou”** upside move on rising volume. At the lower area, there’s about 600 points of **“diatou”** to trim part of the position and then wait again, while if it returns directly to the starting posture, although there isn’t much room, this kind of very small space also won’t be a “trap”—it’s just a bit short. The sideways consolidation shows that **“diatou”**-relate

There was no significant position gained during the day, with 776 Dodo above and a large part reduced at 782, returning to a low position. Since the weekly④ has already moved into a range-bound correction, the intraday outlook is optimistic for a breakout upward, but it hasn't broken through yet, which deviates from expectations. However, this kind of movement is unlikely to be a trap, and there isn't much room to gain either. It can only be said that Dodo's game remains balanced, and the final outcome tonight is still undecided. Betting on a breakout to gain more space was a miscalculation.
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The point has passed, and it's already Saturday, but there's still no movement, still volatile during the day, neither breaking above nor below the high or low. If there's no action by 4 a.m., then basically it won't move much anymore, unless there's a strong fundamental reason or a major breakthrough. It's somewhat disappointing compared to expectations; the expectation was for a breakout on one side. If it breaks upward, then chase Dodo; if it breaks downward, then chase Kong is fine. Currently, this oscillating structure, although not sharp, also doesn't leave room for movement. The volatil

The intraday movement is quite sluggish, and it’s still undergoing a slow grind. In the afternoon, 776 DOU was already signaling around 782 that it was time to reduce positions. Getting back to 779 now is still not an issue. On the four-hour and lower timeframes, the Bollinger band moving averages have already contracted to the extreme—so a breakdown is imminent. Continue waiting. We may see 788 nearby.

#BTC The 776 given in the afternoon directly jumped
Currently at 600 points
A conservative approach can reduce positions and wait
An aggressive approach can continue to watch around 778.
At the same time, a small portion can be sold at 778.
Watch for a breakout above the new high,
If it can break 795, then continue to jump,
Looking at the 805 to 815 range #加密市场行情震荡

#BTC The evening split decision, do or kong...
Bitcoin previously attempted to break 95 two days ago but failed, and after a slight pullback, it has been consolidating at high levels, with intense do-kong battles. On-chain data shows that Bitcoin on exchanges is at its lowest level in history, which means less available to sell, limited selling pressure, and buying interest more easily pushing prices higher. Meanwhile, 801 is the short-term moving average, and approaching it tends to increase selling pressure. Another point is that whales are not exiting, remaining suspiciously active.

#BTC Tonight’s decisive moment—will it be dog or kong…
Bitcoin hit a high at 95 two days ago but failed to break through. After a modest pullback, it’s been consolidating at elevated levels, with intense do–kong competition. On-chain data shows that Bitcoin on exchanges is at its lowest level in history. This means the amount available for sale is reduced, selling pressure is limited, and buy-side demand can more easily push prices higher. Meanwhile, 801 is the short-term holding average line, and when price comes near it, there tends to be heavier selling pressure. One more thing: the

#BTC The overall structure of the Big Pie is still within the upward channel
In terms of price action, it is still a strong structure
In the evening, expectations are that it will make another upward push to test again
Currently around 776, it can do
The target first looks at around 786 to 790
#加密市场行情震荡

#BTC The knockoff projects that have been all the rage recently either see a sharp pullback, or they just get smashed down and never manage to recover. Meanwhile, the capital from these knockoffs is fleeing and flowing toward the “big pancake.” This has been discussed last week as well: when the truth behind the artificial “knockoff season” is exposed, that’s also when knockoffs start to go quiet. The already difficult knockoff projects will only become even harder. Although there were some attempts at controlling the market at the very beginning, it wasn’t very obvious; but lately, more a

#BTC Recently, the hotly discussed copycats are either experiencing sharp pullbacks or falling so hard they can't recover. Meanwhile, funds from these copycats are fleeing into Bitcoin. This was mentioned last week; when the truth about the artificial "copycat season" is exposed, it's also the time when these copycats fall into silence. The already difficult copycat projects will only become more difficult. Although there was some market manipulation at the start, it was not very obvious, but recently more and more are engaging in market control, and the heat is increasing. Inevitably, there

#BTC Overall yesterday was mostly volatile, and early yesterday morning we also initially looked for a pullback, just as Wave ② pulled back. After the pullback, we shifted to viewing it as a range-bound movement, and the trend also moved within a range, with low Dua and high Kong, totaling over 3,000 points. So, how to interpret it is very important, but since the range has already been completed, there is a possibility of forming a small single-sided move within the day.
From the perspective of the overall trend structure, the weekly chart and the below weekly moving averages have all contra

#BTC Yesterday’s trend was quite exciting. After the fifth wave on the hourly chart, a second-wave pullback occurred. In that pullback, the “one-wave decaying” portion decreased momentum; the entire second-wave position then turned “duo.” After the rebound pushed up, the “duo” also turned “duo” again. In total, it summed up to 2200 points. After that, it mainly oscillated within a range, and it kept running short-term. On the short-term, there’s also about a thousand-point of room. This kind of movement is also a typical correction after three bullish advances followed by a pullback correctio

#BTC Yesterday, Do head strongly surged to the recent parallel upward zone high point, which is also the watershed for Do Kong. The breakout failed, resulting in two waves of pullback, during which Kong, Do, totaling 2,200 points. Intraday, it was more sideways, and tonight’s initial unemployment claims also looked somewhat promising, although only 0.4, which can be ignored as it has little impact. So, tonight may continue to be volatile or have small unilateral moves.
Overall, the weekly and lower-level Bollinger bands are narrowing, showing no clear signals of upward or downward movement. T

#BTC The probability that unemployment benefits fall in the evening is relatively high because the previous value of 20.7 is already quite low. Since the base is already very low, if the announced figure is below or equal to the expected 210,000, that would indicate that the job market is better than expected—this directly constitutes a bearish factor. However, if the price has already weakened ahead of the data release, you should also be wary of a rebound after the drop. What matters most is the interest-rate cut expectations. If they are again ambiguous, then the chance of a selloff failur

#BTC Here it comes again, the top three holders of SPK collectively hold 71.52% of the total supply.
First place: 53.52% ( approximately 5.35 billion SPK tokens, worth about $107 million )
Second place: 12.00% ( approximately 1.20 billion SPK tokens )
Third place: 6.00% ( approximately 600 million SPK tokens )
This level of concentrated holding is extremely controlling. Let's watch and see—last time, Rave cleared out 61,000 people. Let's see how many SPK will be cleared out this time... #比特币反弹

#BTC The quantum watershed has arrived—will it surge to 8.6 or drop back to 6.8!!! Yesterday, Dōtóu was strongly bullish and pushed higher, then faced pressure and pulled back. The structure during that period was a bit interesting: on the short-term chart, wave ⑤ pushed upward, followed by wave ② retracing (generally, wave ⑤ will retrace to wave ①–②). On the larger level, it has reached the quantum watershed stage; after the Big Cake went through the halving, it is carrying out a status/position correction and consolidation—upper swing highs are moving higher, and lower swing lows are also m

After the rave crash, it kept saying that rave shouldn't go down, that it can't be pushed up, and even if pushed, it won't rise much. It was pushed to 0.45 to trigger a short squeeze rebound, with the rebound reaching a high of 2.6, and now it has returned to around 0.9. Isn't this exactly the same as STO? Looking at STO again, its background isn't much better than rave's, and it still experienced a rebound after the short squeeze, followed by a decline, then more decline. It only has a little bit of heat left; once the heat fades, it's the start of a decline. #比特币反弹

#BTC First of all, I apologize for the defensive oversight last night. In fact, I just held it, which can also be considered a false break, without allowing for an additional 100 points of defense. Previously, I would have added an extra 100 points; it was really an oversight. "Sorry." Secondly, I just saw that the defense given here was at 794, so I will do my best to support it and push it back.
Last night in the early morning, the fundamentals were basically set, with a gap of 900 points. Then, a gap of two segments totaling 1800 points, combined to 2700 points of space, so I kept an eye o

#BTC The daily Dodo head continues to advance upward, and after a pullback, it enters consolidation. This has happened five consecutive times, so according to the wave ⑤ structure, there will be a correction of wave one to two, around 782 and 775. Of course, it also depends on whether the strong resistance at 794 can hold. Currently, the daily Bollinger extension and the upper resistance overlap, but it has not yet extended above the resistance level. Therefore, the upward space is still open, and the expectation for a pullback is increased. If it pulls back to around 782, it can reduce t