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Daily Market Overview — BTC
BTC's current position has not fundamentally changed from the trading range of the past 10 days. This narrow fluctuation at the end of a prolonged sideways movement can be analyzed and tracked using technical methods to predict the upcoming trend, but it requires significant effort—like using a sledgehammer to kill a chicken—and is not worth it.
For the market, you can watch more and act less, but you cannot ignore it. Traders who do not study the bear market trend often miss the arrival of the bull market.
From the perspective of daily and higher timeframes, the ov
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Daily Market Analysis — BTC
From the weekly chart perspective, over the past 150 days, the price has been moving in a stepwise downward trend, within a contraction of bulls and bears. Brother Sugar believes this cycle is still ongoing. In the next three months, the weekly K-line will eventually cycle with the MA250, channel lines, trap, and grind, which are important signs that the bearish trend is nearing its end.
Although the probability of a direct upward move cannot be ruled out at any time and at any level, this current behavior is exhausting the main bullish forces too much. Personally,
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This big move happens every day at this time without fail! #BTC
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Daily Market Analysis — BTC
Regarding the current volatility of BTC, my approach and perspective have always been consistent and clear:
Before the daily candle can reclaim the MA30, any rebound to the MA30 is seen as resistance; even if it later recovers, since it's a rally on the bearish side, it will only increase selling pressure. One should not chase the rise but instead prepare for a divergence-driven sharp decline after a rapid upward move.
From the perspective of the daily chart and higher timeframes, the price is in a secondary downtrend sideways consolidation phase within a bear
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I haven't made many moves in the past two days because the fluctuation range is small, and I'm constantly facing a 1% gain that could be followed by a 5% drop. So I bought a bunch of aquatic materials, planning to set up a tank and have some fun!
But I always check the market daily, and I also write articles!
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Daily Market Analysis — BTC
Today's market analysis is a bit late; sorry for the wait. However, all structures have been repeatedly mentioned in the trend discussed over the past few days. The longer this position persists over time, the more caution should be exercised regarding potential declines.
From the daily chart perspective, the price is at the end of the second downward sideways consolidation. This is similar to the end of the first downward consolidation, both forming a bearish top and then breaking down.
Until the price recovers the daily MA30, the main trend remains downward;
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Be alert for the upcoming reversal of the third decline, and proceed with caution!
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Daily Market Overview — BTC
Taking a broad view, the current sideways movement and trend are part of a corrective rebound within a bearish trend. From a higher-level perspective, various support indicators suggest that the price has not yet broken support levels locally, but the room for immediate upward movement is limited.
For the bulls, patience is required to wait for a pullback before entering; the upward movement is merely testing the resistance of the daily MA30. At best, it’s a consolidation around the main control line, not a trend reversal.
Therefore, avoid chasing upward; consider s
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Today at the hospital, I don't have time to update the article. I took a quick look at the trend on my phone, which is the downward pattern predicted by Sugar Ge.
The initial large-scale strategy and key levels are all effective. If there is a significant fluctuation driven by news over the weekend, the second level will be valid! #BTC
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Just had a check-up and the doctor said it's anxiety and intense exercise—nothing serious!
Since I'm already here anyway, I figured I'd go ahead and schedule a few more tests, $200 total. The EKG came back normal so far, blood work results will be in 2 hours, and I've got the angiogram and chest CT scheduled for the day after tomorrow in the afternoon. We'll see what shows up then!
No disease is better, but if there is something, we'll treat it, haha!
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Daily Market Analysis——BTC
The discussion regarding BTC's medium to long-term structure and trends was comprehensively reviewed and mentioned in the midday video. From the perspective of current price action, the medium to long-term structure is generally in a breakdown state, with internal structure also showing bearish momentum.
Against this backdrop, upside expectations are minimal. On the downside, we need to be vigilant about the third wave of decline on the daily chart. Therefore, here are several model price levels for reference:
Short-term Support: 64722-63510 (Long-term perspective, t
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# Daily Market Analysis——BTC
The previous short-term support at 69080-68522 precisely locked in the low point of the overnight pullback. Currently, the trends across all timeframes belong to one large consolidation range, but the bullish/bearish signals reflected by each level are relatively mixed. Let us analyze this systematically.
From a medium to long-term perspective with the daily chart as the main reference, price is in a bearish trend. This is the multi-bear interweaving zone within the second downtrend consolidation. Before the K-line breaks below MA30, we cannot determine this as the
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I overslept and caused trouble—my wife got upset and left. I used to coax her back, but after it happened repeatedly, it stopped working.
The crypto market operates 24/7. I'm glued to the charts every day and it's exhausting, so my sleep schedule is all over the place. I often make more in a day than she does in a month, sometimes even a year. At first she was excited and very understanding, but over time, familiarity breeds contempt. She started thinking it was all just how things should be.
I should have married someone in crypto from the beginning—then I wouldn't have all these problems.🤣
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Regarding the pullback trend after BTC reached the at 75180, I have been consistently emphasizing this since the end of February, and the actual price movement has aligned with the charts I drew step by step.
Since the current price is at the tail end of the second daily downtrend consolidation, the bull traps above have been flagged by us, and the survival line battle method will mostly fail below. This stage requires more preparation for methods involving breakdown, divergence, and counter-rallies. #BTC
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Daily Market Analysis——BTC
As mentioned in the previous article, after BTC stabilizes above 73320 on the daily chart for 3-5 days and the time condition is satisfied, there is an opportunity to extend upward toward 78510-81630. This medium-term strategy can be executed once the time condition is met. Before that, the main focus should be on low long positions after small-level pullbacks.
From the 4H to 12H medium-term structure, the price fluctuation range is at the same level as yesterday, with K-lines maintaining consolidation after the rise, positioned in the middle of the supply/demand com
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Unconsciously, I have already purchased many Apple products. Does this mean I have the full Apple ecosystem?
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Daily Market Analysis——BTC
BTC reached the main force control line at 75180, and accompanied by a 15-minute level top divergence, it experienced a sharp decline. From the current conditions, the large-level counter-rally is in its final stages, while the small-level downtrend momentum continues.
From the weekly trend perspective, the rebound that started this month from the second downtrend consolidation lower band on the daily level has successively reached various long-cycle resistance levels. Going higher only presents more severe divergence resistance (a frequent area for bull traps). Bull
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This is a book I loved reading during the low point in 2016. I found it by chance on my bookshelf today and would like to recommend it to everyone. Tang Ge is not a dealer, just accustomed to dancing with dealers. I hope everyone can gain something from this.
The crypto market is a battlefield of financial strength comparison. It doesn't believe in tears, but it believes in wisdom and ability. This kind of ability and wisdom largely depends on whether you can identify the dealers, see through their intentions, master their operational techniques, and let the dealers lift your sedan chair.
As l
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# Daily Market Analysis——BTC
BTC's current price has once again approached the at 75180, where the control line is playing a suppressive role in the intraday market.
Before the chart shows a recovery and reversal structure, all rallies near the control line should be viewed with the mindset of surging higher and falling back, while being vigilant against sharp declines on the 4H and above timeframes.
From the daily and above timeframes, over the past month, I have consistently indicated that the current price is on the bearish side of a downtrend. The current price is
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Daily Market Review——BTC (Detailed Weekend Edition)
Choppy market conditions always tend to make traders lower their guard, but as time goes on, after the consolidation structure enters its final phase, it often delivers an unexpected painful blow to traders who disrespect the trend.
To prevent this, you simply need to clarify the distinction between trend and direction in "going against the current."
From the daily chart perspective, price is on the bearish side within a downtrend. All current price fluctuations are contained within the upper and lower bands of the second daily pullback conso
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