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Dow Jones Shows 68% Win Rate in H2 Since 1896, Geopolitical Risks Don't Change Pattern

2026-06-15 21:49:20

According to MarketWatch, historical data spanning since 1896 shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average has posted gains in the second half of 68% of years. The analysis reveals that regardless of geopolitical tensions, oil price volatility, or inflation pressure, this statistical pattern remains largely unchanged, with no objectively defined subset of years showing materially different probabilities. Researchers note these variations lack statistical significance at the 95% confidence level, indicating they are not reliable predictive indicators.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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