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Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Comments Trigger Record Treasury Futures Volume, July Rate Hike Odds Jump to 50%

2026-06-21 07:01:41

According to CME data released Thursday, June 18, U.S. Treasury futures trading volume surged to a historic high following Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks on Wednesday. More than 500,000 contracts traded in a single day, roughly four times the average volume over the previous 20 days. Market pricing for a July rate hike reversed sharply, jumping from near-zero to approximately 50% probability, as traders positioned for potential rate increases at the Fed's late July meeting.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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