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World Cup group stage: Sweden vs Tunisia — which team does the prediction market see more funds favoring?

World Cup group stage: Sweden vs Tunisia — which team does the prediction market see more funds favoring?

Less than 12 hours remain before Sweden’s Group F opener against Tunisia. According to Gate’s prediction market data, the current market assigns a 51% probability to Sweden winning, 29% to a draw, and 21% to Tunisia winning. This probability distribution reflects the market’s overall assessment of the two teams’ combined strength: Sweden is viewed as the side more likely to win, but not with overwhelming advantage—while the possibility of a draw is also priced in accordingly. {currencycard:polym

10h ago

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World Cup group stage: Netherlands vs Japan — which does the prediction market money favor more?

On June 14, 2026, Beijing time, the World Cup group-stage match between the Netherlands and Japan is set to kick off within 16 hours. Crypto prediction markets have become an important data source for event expectation analysis. Gate prediction market data shows that the current capital is betting on a 48% probability of the Netherlands winning, a 27% probability of a draw, and a 26% probability of Japan winning. This probability distribution is not a simple win-or-lose prediction, but a market
20h ago
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Brazil vs Morocco is about to kick off— which team does the prediction market favor more?

As of June 13, 2026, according to Gate’s prediction market data, the win-rate distribution for Brazil vs. Morocco in the group stage is as follows: Brazil win probability 59%, draw probability 26%, and Morocco win probability 18%. The market trading volume for this predicted event has already exceeded $5.3 million, reflecting crypto users’ high level of engagement and enthusiasm for this Group C showdown. This probability distribution is broadly aligned with the
KALSHI-0.84%
06-13 14:21
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World Cup Group Stage: USA vs Paraguay — Who do the betting market funds favor more?

On June 13, 2026 at 9:00 AM Beijing time, the host U.S. team will face Paraguay at the Los Angeles Stadium to kick off Group D’s first match. This is the second time the two teams have met in the World Cup—going back to the inaugural World Cup in 1930, when the U.S. beat the opponent 3-0, with Patnaud becoming the first player in World Cup history to score a hat-trick. For crypto industry prediction market participants, the suspense of this match isn’t about “who can win,” but about “why the mar
06-12 14:41
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SpaceX’s fundraising of over $7.5 billion lands on Nasdaq—can the crypto market’s liquidity performance stand up to the test?

On June 12, 2026, SpaceX, trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under stock ticker SPCX, officially began trading in a fresh listing. The offer price was set at $135 per share, implying a market cap of approximately $1.77 trillion. The base capital-raising size was as high as $75 billion, and if the underwriters exercised their over-allotment option, it could reach up to $86 billion—setting a new global record for IPO fundraising. Dubbed by the market as a “century IPO” capital feast, this
BTC1.64%
06-12 08:59
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Win rate 53% vs 21%: Why do prediction market funds favor Canada over Bosnia and Herzegovina?

On June 13, 2026 at 3:00 a.m. (Beijing time), with the host nation Canada, the stage will welcome the third-ever World Cup journey in the team’s history at Toronto’s BMO Field. Their first match is against Bosnia and Herzegovina, which returns to the World Cup stage after 12 years. As the world’s first centralized exchange to integrate Polymarket, Gate prediction market data shows: the probability of Canada winning in the current market is 53%, the probability of a draw is 27%, and the probabili
06-12 04:30
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How to play World Cup predictions? For the opening match, Mexico vs South Africa, market funds are betting on Mexico with a 70% win rate

At 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on June 12, 2026, the 2026 FIFA World Cup USA/Canada/Mexico will officially kick off at Azteca Stadium in Mexico City, with the opening match featuring co-host Mexico against South Africa. Not only is this match the first face-off of this World Cup, it’s also a “cycle of recurrence” after 16 years—the opening match of the 2010 South Africa World Cup was exactly the same matchup between these two teams. Azteca Stadium can host more than 87,000 spectators and is the first
06-11 14:08
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How big is the impact of CPI on the BTC market? With inflation data at 4.2%, how will rate-hike expectations hit the crypto market?

In May, the Consumer Price Index returned to above 4% for the first time in three years, with energy prices becoming the key driver. Compared with April, the mild performance of core inflation formed a split combination of overall heat and an restrained core. This structural “temperature difference” not only makes the rate-hike path increasingly hard to pin down, but also directly affects the pricing benchmark of crypto assets in a strong-US-dollar environment. According to data from the U.S. De
BTC1.64%
XAUUSD1.71%
USIDX-0.25%
NAS1001.58%
06-11 11:29
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29 minutes of shocking reversal: The Knicks lead 3:1 in the Finals, and Gate prediction market shows an 82% chance of winning the championship

Madison Square Garden in New York witnessed the most unbelievable night in NBA Finals history. On the evening of June 10 local time, Game 4 of the 2025-26 NBA Finals kicked off here. With the New York Knicks trailing by 27 points at halftime and by as many as 29 points at their worst during the game, they survived and edged out the San Antonio Spurs 107:106 thanks to OG Anunoby’s game-winning putback with 1.2 seconds left, rewriting the series score to 3:1 and first securing a chance at a clinch
06-11 08:27
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