DefiOldTrickster

Recently, I came across a viewpoint released by Grayscale Research. They believe that Bitcoin will very likely break new highs in 2026, and the assessment is actually quite interesting.
To be clear, there has long been a saying in the market about Bitcoin’s “four-year cycle.” However, Grayscale’s analysis suggests that this round is quite different from before. In previous cycles, the surge was typically driven by retail investors, often creating a parabolic run-up that made it easier for a bubble to form. But now the driving force is completely different—large amounts of institutional capital

I just saw the economic data from the United States, and the core PCE price index is quite important. Simply put, it is a key indicator for measuring inflation in American consumers' spending, and the Federal Reserve has been using it as the main reference for inflation since 2002.
The recently announced December core PCE annual rate rose from 2.8% to 2.9%, indicating that inflationary pressure is still present. This PCE corresponds to personal consumption expenditures, published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and is basically the most direct indicator reflecting changes in consumer

Have you played Musk Empire before? This Telegram game is really addictive; there are different challenges and puzzles to solve every day. I was also following the answers at the time, and I remember one day’s stock portfolio options included an electric vehicle manufacturer, an OnlyFans model, and artificial intelligence—getting the right ones would earn you rewards.
The most interesting parts are the daily riddles and the rebus of the day, which test your brain. For example, it asks, “An automatic, fair program that doesn’t need an intermediary when I’m present—what am I?” The answer is a co

I recently saw Stripe's 2025 annual summary, and the numbers are truly astonishing. Their total transaction volume reached $1.9 trillion, a 34% increase compared to 2024. This Stripe transaction volume now accounts for 1.6% of the global GDP, highlighting the importance of payment infrastructure in the global economy.
Even more interesting is the scale of their services. The platform now supports over 5.5 million businesses, including a bunch of top AI companies, 90% of the blue-chip stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and 80% of the tech companies in the Nasdaq 100. Their Link payment

Recently, I observed a very interesting phenomenon. Wall Street giants like Morgan Stanley, managing $1.2 trillion in client assets, have shifted their attitude towards Bitcoin from "considering" to "must participate." But more importantly, they are only treating Bitcoin as an entry ticket.
What is the real main course? Tokenized funds, on-chain yield products, and the entire set of RWA infrastructure. What Stanley Morgan is doing is essentially moving all traditional financial assets onto the blockchain. You see that BlackRock has already taken action, JPMorgan has listed it as a competitive

A geopolitical shift that’s well worth deep reflection has recently come into focus. Israel carried out what it officially described as a large-scale airstrike operation in Tehran, marking an unprecedented escalation in tensions in the Middle East region. Many market observers are discussing what impact this will have on global energy markets, because the strategic considerations behind this operation are far more complex than what meets the eye.
According to defense analysts, the airstrike targeted multiple sensitive facilities in the Iranian capital, including research institutions related t

I just saw that the Russian government is really serious about cryptocurrency regulation again. The new bill submitted to the State Duma this week essentially aims to classify all unlicensed cryptocurrency services as criminal offenses.
The crackdown is indeed quite strong. According to reports, individuals engaged in unauthorized cryptocurrency activities face a minimum fine of 100k to 300k rubles and could be sentenced to four years of forced labor. In serious cases, they could be directly imprisoned for four years plus fines. If involved in organized crime groups, the prison term can go up

Recently, I noticed that crude oil trading on Hyperliquid has been exceptionally hot, with open interest in two types of crude oil contracts directly surpassing $1 billion over the weekend. WTIOIL open interest reached $670 million, while BRENTOIL was at $334 million, which is quite a remarkable scale.
Even more interesting is the shift in traders' attitudes; recently, everyone has started to focus on going long crude oil, causing the funding rate for open contracts to rise to around 0.6%. This kind of rate increase usually indicates a strong bullish sentiment, and it seems that the traditiona

Recently, I have been pondering a question: when the Great Depression occurred, where did all the money go? Many people think that money disappeared into thin air, but that's not true. The real reason was overcapacity, with excessive consumption stimulating the market, leading companies to continue疯狂生产, ultimately陷入恶性循环, and finally崩盘。
Taking the Great Depression from 1929 to 1933 as an example, the entire economic crisis can be divided into three stages, which I call埋雷,踩雷, and爆雷.
First, let's talk about the埋雷 stage. At that time, a certain country advocated自由市场, and the government adopted a l

Recently, I’ve been researching blockchain games, and I’ve found that this space is quite interesting for players who want to earn passive income. Many people still don’t really understand the concept, so I’d like to share my thoughts.
To put it simply, blockchain games combine traditional gaming with the crypto world. The things you earn in the game—whether they’re tokens or NFTs—truly belong to you, and you can trade, sell, or transfer them. This is completely different from traditional games, where virtual items are actually controlled by the game company.
Blockchain games usually have a fe

Recently, many people have been using the trend of gold in 1979 to speculate on today's market, and I have to say, this logic is actually quite dangerous.
On the surface, it does seem somewhat similar: tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, inflation expectations heating up, gold initially rising then falling. Comparing the two sets of candlestick charts seems like it could predict the future. But if you really look deeper, you'll find that the entire game has completely changed.
Let's first review what happened in 1979. The key points that year were two things. First, after Fed Chair

I have been paying close attention to the topic of zero-knowledge proofs recently, and more and more people are beginning to recognize its value in privacy protection. Simply put, zero-knowledge proof is a way to prove to others that a certain statement is true without revealing any details. It sounds a bit mysterious, but its application scenarios are actually very broad.
The core logic is quite interesting. The prover can convince the verifier that they possess some secret information, but the verifier cannot obtain any clues about that secret. This mechanism relies on three fundamental prop

Recently, I’ve noticed that many beginners often stumble when using the RSI indicator. Instead of just reading textbooks, I’d like to share some practical experience I’ve observed over the years.
First, the conclusion: RSI is actually very simple, it’s just a number between 0 and 100 used to measure the strength of price momentum over a certain period. When RSI is above 70, the market may be overly optimistic; below 30, it may be overly pessimistic. But here’s the trap: many people see overbought conditions and immediately short, only to get wiped out in a strong trend.
My personal habit is to

Toyota recently announced a senior management reshuffle, and this change doesn't seem to be just a simple leadership transition; it reflects the pressure of industry-wide transformation.
The current CFO, Kenta Chika, will officially assume the role of President on April 1st. This choice is quite interesting. Against the backdrop of high tariffs in the U.S. and increasing global competition, Toyota has chosen someone who has long been responsible for group finance and structural adjustments to lead the company, indicating that the company's current focus is on balancing electric vehicle investm

I've been seeing the number 333 lately and looked up the meaning of angel numbers, and I found it quite interesting. It's said that 333 represents harmony of mind, body, and soul, symbolizing the power of the Trinity. If you keep seeing it, it seems like the universe is reminding you to stay balanced and trust your inner intuition.
Speaking of which, I realized that as I pay attention to these numbers, the market is also changing. Today, Bitcoin dropped to 71.08K, down 3.47%, Ripple fell 2.77% to 1.33, and Ethereum declined by 5.05%. Interestingly, while you're contemplating spiritual awakenin

Recently, I noticed an interesting phenomenon: technology stocks and gold are both declining simultaneously, and the sharp drop in cryptocurrencies has also followed. Especially Bitcoin; this wave of decline seems to have a higher correlation with the Nasdaq, shifting from a negative correlation to a positive one, which is quite uncommon before.
It feels like the logic behind the recent plunge in cryptocurrencies has changed, no longer being so independent. The current price of BTC is at 72.68K, still up 1.50% in the past 24 hours, but the overall trend is clearly more influenced by traditiona

Recently, I saw someone quote "Fortune favors the brave," but I realized most people only understand the surface meaning.
What is the full meaning of this phrase? Desire arises from the heart, greed grows from the edge of courage. Fortune favors the brave, but also loses in danger. When seeking, the success rate is one in ten; when losing, nine in ten.
See, this is the true logic of trading. Many people only see the first half and think that "Fortune favors the brave" means taking risks and going all in. But the key is in the second half — losing also happens in danger. And when seeking, the s

Having spent ten years in the crypto world, I’ve gradually come to develop a trading method that suits me. To be honest, I’m not yet financially free, but I can at least make steady profits, surpassing most people’s level.
Looking back, I knew from day one of entering investing that without a systematic strategy, I wouldn’t survive. It’s like sailing without a compass—relying on intuition and impulsive actions, losing money is only a matter of time. But truly refining an effective strategy is far more difficult than it seems.
The hardest part of a good trading strategy is that it challenges hu

Recently, many people have been asking me what ATOM is, so I’ll share my understanding.
Cosmos (ATOM) is a pretty interesting project. Its core idea is to break down the barriers between different blockchains. Simply put, ATOM is the native token of the Cosmos network, which is often called the "Internet of Blockchains." The goal is to solve the major issues in the current blockchain ecosystem, such as interoperability and scalability.
What I focus on are some of its technical highlights. First is the IBC protocol (Inter-Blockchain Communication), which allows different blockchains to seamless