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Fed July Rate Hold Seen at 71% Probability on Polymarket as Inflation Stabilizes

Prediction Market Forex

2026-07-28 04:23:31

POLYMARKET-3.61%

According to Polymarket on July 26, the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision is priced at a 71.2% probability of maintaining current rates, with only 27.6% odds of a 25 basis point increase. The shift reflects growing market confidence in inflation stabilization, with economists citing declining core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) inflation and comments from Federal Reserve officials supporting a rate hold over a hike.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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In-Depth Analysis

Fed Rate Hike Odds Jump on Prediction Markets Before July Meeting

Ethan Brooks10h ago

Fed July Rate Decision Set for July 29th: Markets Price 66.3% Unchanged

Lucas Bennett13h ago

Will the Fed raise rates or cut rates in July? In the prediction market, 79% of funds are betting that rates will stay the same.

Gate Instant Trends17h ago

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